09/10/2021
NEWS STORY
Following this morning's wet session, it was widely anticipated that this afternoon's session, like the race, would be held in dry conditions.
While it has not rained since and the track is clearly drying, there is a 60% chance of further rain over the next hour. While this is a nightmare for the engineers and drivers it is great news for us.
Having lagged behind Lewis Hamilton, Max Verstappen was quicker earlier, but this was in the wet, and while the Dutchman may well perform a few rain dances over the course of the weekend, in general the Mercedes driver appears to have the upper hand.
Going on Friday's evidence, despite his grid penalty, things are looking good for Hamilton, while Verstappen clearly had work to do on their understeer issues.
Alpine looked good, as did Ferrari and McLaren, though Carlos Sainz starts from the back of the grid following his engine change.
With a question mark over the weather, the fact is that it is almost impossible to make any predictions as to what might happen over the next hour, suffice to say that attention will be focussed on the sky and weather radar.
Ahead of Q1, the air temperature is 18.5 degrees C, while the track temperature is 21.8 degrees. According to Race Control there is a 100% chance of rain over the course of the next hour. Despite the fact the track appears mostly dry, the track is declared wet.
Understandably, when the lights go green there is a mad scramble to get out on track and pocket that all-important banker lap. Raikkonen heads the queue, everyone sporting softs.
"Rain is coming," Gasly is advised.
Norris is told the rain will first arrive between Turns 11 and 14.
The lights go green and Raikkonen leads the field out on track.
Hamilton and Verstappen are among the last out, worryingly late in view of the threat from the skies. Indeed, Hamilton is told he will probably have just one dry lap.
Needless to say, drivers are slowing in a bid to create space leading to the usual fears of a mishap.
An early mistake - on his out lap - for Hamilton, while Sainz spins at Turn 1. "Rear tyres," says the Spaniard.
A number of drivers have moments, including Verstappen.
To ad to their woes a number of drivers have their times deleted for exceeding the track limits.
Gasly goes quickest (29.499), but is demoted by Norris (28.079).
Alonso goes third, ahead of Latifi and Russell, but is demoted by Ocon and then Perez.
Russell goes top with a 28.047 but Hamilton responds with a 27.085.
Tsunoda goes second while Verstappen can only manage 16th (44.530).
Bottas goes second (27.173), ahead of Ricciardo, but both are demoted by Verstappen (26.692)
It really is as frantic as it reads.
A 26.520 sees Hamilton go top, while neither Ferrari driver has posted a time.
As Bottas posts 25.913, Leclerc finally gets on the board with a 27.341.
It is now raining at Turn 14... and Tsunoda is off at Turn 1.
Norris goes second, ahead of Verstappen, Alonso and Hamilton.
Raikkonen continues to have his times deleted for exceeding the track limits.
Bottas improves to 25.733 as Norris reports that it is "spitting" around the whole track.
Leclerc posts a 25.727 to go quickest.
As Gasly goes quickest (25.486), Mazepin spins at Turn 1.
Alonso goes second, ahead of Leclerc and Bottas as Hamilton slips to ninth.
"I think we should get another banker," suggests Hamilton.
As he heads out again, Verstappen is told that conditions are improving.
Hamilton goes top with a 25.050 and Bottas second with a 25.138.
A 26.571 sees Stroll escape the drop zone to go 13th.
Perez improves to fourth (25.458) on fresh softs.
With 2:00 remaining, Schumacher, Vettel, Giovinazzi, Raikkonen and Mazepin comprise the drop zone, with Sainz, Stroll, Latifi and Ricciardo hovering.
No sooner has Verstappen split the Mercedes pair with a 25.033, than Hamilton raises the bar with a 24.585.
A 24.704 sees Gasly go second.
Tsunoda improves to sixth, Perez to fourth and Vettel 12th.
Schumacher goes eleventh, Russell ninth and Sainz... ninth, which is bad news for Ricciardo who fails to make the cut.
Conditions improved dramatically in the final moments.
"Nice work buddy," Schumacher is told.
Hamilton is quickest, ahead of Verstappen, Gasly, Leclerc, Perez, Bottas, Norris, Alonso, Sainz and Tsunoda.
We lose Ricciardo, Latifi, Giovinazzi, Raikkonen and Mazepin.
The Mercedes pair are among the first out for Q2, both sporting mediums, as are the majority of other drivers.
Hamilton posts a 29.687, while his teammate crosses the line at 24.142.
Elsewhere, Perez suffers an aggressive snap and spins in Turn 1 which will have done his tyres no good whatsoever.
Alonso goes second, ahead of Gasly, Tsunoda and Ocon.
Vettel goes fifth and Stroll sixth, as Verstappen begins his first flying lap.
The Dutchman crosses the line at 24.002 but is immediately demoted by his title rival who posts a 23.595.
Norris goes fifth, ahead of Perez, Leclerc and Tsunoda.
Looking set to improve, Leclerc spins in the final corner and therefore remains tenth.
Bottas goes second with a 23.792 to make it a Mercedes 1-2.
With just over three minutes remaining, Leclerc, Russell and Vettel are all in the drop zone.
Quickest in the opening sector, a poor final sector sees Verstappen fails to improve.
Quickest in the opening sector, Alonso goes third with a 23.914.
Stroll is off at Turn 1, but nonetheless looks safe as far as Q3 is concerned.
Russell looks set to make the cut but a mistake in the final corner puts paid to his ambitions.
Verstappen goes second only to be leapfrogged by Bottas (23.579).
Courtesy of a tow from his teammate, Leclerc goes seventh with a 24.015.
Quickest is Hamilton, ahead of Bottas, Verstappen, Gasly, Alonso, Perez, Leclerc, Tsunoda, Stroll and Norris.
We lose Vettel, Ocon, Russell, Schumacher and Sainz.
Check out our Saturday gallery from Istanbul, here.
The Mercedes pair lead the way as the green light signals the start of Q3.
Verstappen and Alonso are last out.
Hamilton posts 23.093 and Bottas a 23.071.
Gasly goes third, ahead of Norris, Leclerc and Tsunoda.
Verstappen goes third with a 2.298, PBS in all three sectors for the Dutchman who is just 0.222 down on Bottas.
Asked what he thinks about a three-lap run, Hamilton replies that the tyres "aren't great for the first lap".
The Briton subsequently heads out, having the luxury of an entirely clear track.
As he begins his final flying lap - going purple in the first sector - Hamilton is joined by Tsunoda, Gasly, Perez and Norris.
Hamilton maintains the pace in S2, crossing the line at 22.868 to take provisional pole... though he has that penalty.
Gasly remains fourth, he was looking set to improve but, like Hamilton, lost time in the final sector.
Verstappen improves (23.196) but remains third.
Stroll goes ninth, while Alonso goes fifth.
Hamilton has another go and though quickest in S1 loses pace over the remainder of the lap and fails to improve.
So, Hamilton is quickest, ahead of Bottas, Verstappen, Leclerc, Gasly, Alonso, Perez, Norris, Stroll and Tsunoda.
Vettel is eleventh, ahead of Ocon, Russell, Schumacher, Sainz, Ricciardo, Latifi, Giovinazzi, Raikkonen and Mazepin.
"The beginning was quite tricky with the conditions," admits Verstappen, "but compared to yesterday, we managed to turn it around quite well.
"Overall, quite a decent recovery compared to yesterday," he adds.
"It was a good qualifying, was some good laps," says Bottas. "Last lap I got some understeer but other than that, enjoyed it.
"Looking ahead, he is quick to add: "I'll focus on my own race tomorrow I think."
"The track is completely different," says Hamilton, "the track is totally awesome with the grip levels it is giving us.
"Great job by the team’s, impressed with the performance," he adds.
"Tomorrow will be difficult, but I'll give it everything. It's not the easiest for overtaking, and we are all on the same tyres as well. Hopefully we can give the fans a good race."
Check out our Saturday gallery from Istanbul, here.